Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Davis
Big West
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#322
Expected Predictive Rating-14.2#325
Pace67.4#169
Improvement+2.7#73

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#299
Improvement-0.1#171

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#325
Improvement+2.7#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 232   Southern Utah L 75-76 21%     0 - 1 -4.9 -2.8 -2.0
  Nov 12, 2011 339   Bryant L 63-70 63%     0 - 2 -22.8 -18.0 -4.9
  Nov 13, 2011 46   @ San Diego St. L 74-89 2%     0 - 3 -2.9 +6.0 -8.4
  Nov 18, 2011 64   Stanford L 49-70 7%     0 - 4 -17.0 -16.0 -2.6
  Nov 22, 2011 293   Sacramento St. L 61-69 46%     0 - 5 -19.4 -12.5 -7.6
  Nov 27, 2011 213   @ Eastern Washington L 59-79 12%     0 - 6 -19.3 -15.4 -3.3
  Dec 03, 2011 150   Idaho L 74-94 17%     0 - 7 -22.1 +0.3 -23.0
  Dec 11, 2011 210   @ Hawaii L 61-74 11%     0 - 8 -12.0 -11.8 -0.5
  Dec 17, 2011 59   UCLA L 39-82 4%     0 - 9 -35.1 -31.3 -1.9
  Dec 20, 2011 263   @ San Jose St. L 59-79 18%     0 - 10 -22.6 -12.6 -11.4
  Dec 22, 2011 232   @ Southern Utah L 51-62 14%     0 - 11 -11.5 -16.7 +4.4
  Dec 29, 2011 163   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 64-65 7%     0 - 12 0 - 1 +2.8 -2.9 +5.6
  Jan 05, 2012 268   UC Riverside L 58-60 39%     0 - 13 0 - 2 -11.6 -6.1 -5.8
  Jan 07, 2012 241   UC Irvine L 55-70 34%     0 - 14 0 - 3 -23.0 -17.8 -5.9
  Jan 12, 2012 39   @ Long Beach St. L 58-86 2%     0 - 15 0 - 4 -14.6 -3.7 -13.5
  Jan 14, 2012 305   @ Cal St. Northridge L 80-84 28%     0 - 16 0 - 5 -10.3 +2.1 -12.4
  Jan 21, 2012 271   @ Pacific L 48-64 19%     0 - 17 0 - 6 -18.9 -19.2 -2.2
  Jan 26, 2012 110   UC Santa Barbara L 59-86 12%     0 - 18 0 - 7 -26.3 -14.6 -12.3
  Jan 28, 2012 172   Cal Poly L 65-67 21%     0 - 19 0 - 8 -5.7 -1.6 -4.4
  Feb 02, 2012 241   @ UC Irvine L 61-68 15%     0 - 20 0 - 9 -8.2 -11.6 +3.5
  Feb 04, 2012 268   @ UC Riverside L 54-59 18%     0 - 21 0 - 10 -7.8 -12.9 +4.9
  Feb 09, 2012 305   Cal St. Northridge W 79-71 53%     1 - 21 1 - 10 -5.1 -2.0 -3.1
  Feb 11, 2012 39   Long Beach St. L 69-89 5%     1 - 22 1 - 11 -13.4 -0.3 -13.4
  Feb 14, 2012 271   Pacific W 73-64 40%     2 - 22 2 - 11 -0.7 -3.7 +3.2
  Feb 18, 2012 338   @ Northern Arizona W 70-65 50%     3 - 22 -7.2 +0.2 -6.8
  Feb 20, 2012 223   @ Seattle L 59-73 13%     3 - 23 -13.9 -20.8 +8.8
  Feb 25, 2012 163   Cal St. Fullerton W 78-75 19%     4 - 23 3 - 11 +0.0 -6.7 +6.4
  Mar 01, 2012 172   @ Cal Poly L 56-69 8%     4 - 24 3 - 12 -9.9 -8.5 -3.2
  Mar 03, 2012 110   @ UC Santa Barbara L 43-90 4%     4 - 25 3 - 13 -39.5 -26.0 -16.3
  Mar 08, 2012 39   Long Beach St. L 46-80 3%     4 - 26 -24.0 -18.3 -8.8
Projected Record 4.0 - 26.0 3.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13 100.0% 100.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%